History I / Demographic and Statistical History
Practice question · Estimate

Household multipliers for medieval hearth taxes are usually estimated between 4.0 and 5.5. Using 5.5, what population would 400 hearths give?

Estimate on a scale from 1400 to 2600.

Hints
  1. Multiply the number of hearths by the assumed household size.
  2. The higher multiplier is used here.
Show the answer

2200 people (answers within ±100 count)

Why

Two thousand two hundred, versus 1,600 at the low multiplier. Same 400 hearths, same document, 600 people of difference produced by nothing but a choice of assumption. This is why the honest output is a range, not a point.

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