Mathematics I / Hypothesis Testing
Practice question · Fill in the blanks

Complete the definition of the p-value.

The p-value is the probability of ______.

Word bank: observing data at least as extreme as yours, assuming H0 is true · the null hypothesis being true · the alternative hypothesis being true · having made a Type II error on this test

Hints
  1. The p-value is computed under an assumption. Which one?
  2. It is a statement about the data, not about the hypotheses.
Show the answer

The p-value is the probability of observing data at least as extreme as yours, assuming H0 is true.

Why

The p-value assumes H0 and asks how surprising the data would be. It is not the probability that H0 is true, that would be a statement about the hypothesis, which this framework never assigns a probability to.

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