Practice question · Fill in the blanks
Complete the description of a simulated result.
A Monte Carlo estimate of a probability is ______ of the true value.
Word bank: an exact computation · a statistical estimate · a strict upper bound · a symbolic form
Hints
- Two runs with different random points give different answers.
- What does that variability tell you about the standing of the number?
Show the answer
A Monte Carlo estimate of a probability is a statistical estimate of the true value.
Why
Random sampling yields a statistic with sampling error, not a computed value. It should always be quoted with a sense of how large that error might be, which Unit 9 makes precise.
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