Psychology I / Quasi-Experimental and Non-Experimental Designs
Practice question · Multiple choice

Ice-cream sales and drowning deaths rise and fall together across the year. Nobody thinks ice cream causes drowning. Why does this obvious case generalise into a rule that applies to correlations where the third factor is NOT obvious?

Hints
  1. Why exactly are you confident ice cream does not cause drowning? Now check whether that reason is available in other cases.
  2. Ask what it means when you cannot think of a third variable.
Show the answer

D. Because the logical structure is identical either way.

Why

The example is chosen because the confounder is easy to see, and that obviousness makes the lesson feel narrow. Strip out the content and the structure is bare. When a study reports that breakfast-eaters weigh less, the absence of an obvious confounder is a fact about your imagination, income and health consciousness are sitting right there.

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