Psychology I / Reporting Research Findings
Practice question · Multiple choice

A researcher collects data, notices an unexpected pattern, and publishes it as the hypothesis the study set out to test. Every number reported is accurate. Why is this nonetheless a serious problem?

Hints
  1. Ask how many patterns the researcher could have noticed, and how many were reported.
  2. Every number is right. So what exactly is false in the paper?
Show the answer

B. Because the p-value assumes a single pre-specified test.

Why

Nothing in the paper is numerically wrong, which is what makes it easy to rationalise; the falsehood is structural, presenting a posterior hypothesis as prior. A dataset offers many patterns and some are striking by chance, so choosing after the fact runs many tests while reporting one. Exploratory work is indispensable and needs only to be labelled.

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