Sociology I / Population: Structure and Dynamics
Practice question · True or false

A country whose fertility has been below replacement for four decades must by now have a shrinking population.

Hints
  1. Ask what else can add people to a population besides births.
  2. Momentum and migration both work against the arithmetic of the fertility rate.
Show the answer

False

Why

False. Spain is the counter-example in this lesson: below replacement since the early 1980s, and substantially larger today. Fertility describes the reproduction of a cohort; total change is the sum of four separate terms, and any of the other three can dominate for decades.

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