Business I / Decision Making
Practice question · Numerical answer

Option A pays 100 with probability 0.5, else 0. Option B pays 40 for sure. Compute the difference EVAEVBEV_A - EV_B.

Hints
  1. EVA=0.5×100EV_A = 0.5 \times 100.
  2. 504050 - 40.
Show the answer

10 (answers within ±0.5 count)

Why

EVA=50EV_A = 50, EVB=40EV_B = 40: the gamble is worth 10 more on average. Whether a real manager should take it depends on risk tolerance and repetition. EV is the start of the argument, not the end.

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