History I / Cyclical Theories of History
Practice question · Multiple choice

Ibn Khaldun’s asabiyyah rises in the desert and decays in the city over about four generations. Why does that count as a model where Spengler’s organic seasons do not?

Hints
  1. Ask which claim a counter-example could show to be wrong.
  2. One names a mechanism; the other names a resemblance.
Show the answer

D. Because it names a variable that can be watched, and a tempo

Why

Cohesion and a four-generation tempo are commitments: a case that keeps its cohesion for ten generations embarrasses the theory. A civilisation that has an autumn because civilisations have autumns cannot be embarrassed.

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