Modelling Change Over Time
A differential equation relates a function to its derivatives — it describes how something changes rather than what it is.
First-order ODEs involve the first derivative only: .
Separable equations: if , separate variables and integrate both sides:
Linear first-order ODEs: . Solved by the integrating factor :
The exponential growth/decay model: has solution . If : growth; if : decay. This is the simplest and most important ODE in economics.
Economic applications:
- Continuous compound interest: → .
- Price adjustment: — price rises when demand exceeds supply.
- Solow growth model: — capital accumulation as saving minus depreciation.
- Advertising decay: brand awareness — without reinforcement, awareness fades exponentially.
The steady state (equilibrium) is where — the system stops changing. Stability depends on whether deviations from equilibrium grow (: unstable) or shrink (: stable).
Stability criterion: for near equilibrium : if , the equilibrium is stable (deviations shrink); if , it is unstable (deviations grow).
The first-order toolkit
| Type | Form | Method |
|---|---|---|
| Separable | Separate and integrate | |
| Linear | Integrating factor | |
| Exponential | Direct: |
Common pitfall: Losing solutions when separating. Dividing by assumes — the constant solutions where (often the equilibria you care most about) must be checked separately.